Housing Bubble View – Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Base Year = 1995)
A paper by Ferreira and Gyourko (2011)* shows the real estate booms in some cities started in 1997-1999 and grew slowly for a while before taking off.
I wanted to see how the booms developed from the very beginning so I moved the base year back to 1995 from 2000.
The authors of that study consider a jump in prices as the beginning of a housing boom. That is, if prices have been increasing at around 3% a year for a few years and then they jump to 6% in one year, that jump is the beginning of the boom.
Bubble View – Case-Shiller Home Price Index (1995 = 100)
Sorry but the chart doesn’t have data for Dallas. Case-Shiller doesn’t have data before 2000 for Dallas so I can’t shift its base year back to 1995.
Inflation-Adjusted Bubble View – Case-Shiller Home Price Index (1995 = 100)
Note: I applied the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) to the Case-Shiller Home Price Index.